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Lee Kuan Yew had 1% chance of living till 100 years old

Lee Kuan Yew had 1% chance of living till 100 years old

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On paper, in theory, the statistical odds are as such.

Note: The headline of the article has been changed from “Lee Kuan Yew has 1% chance of living till 100 years old” to “Lee Kuan Yew had 1% chance of living till 100 years old.”

This after a reader correctly pointed out the conditional probability of living till 100 when you are already 90 is higher than 1% — because he is still in the sample size.

——

Lee Kuan Yew turns 90 years young today on Sept. 16.

Leaving aside whether or not he is a douche or a visionary or a bit of both for doing all the things he did in his life and whether his ability to will himself contributed to his longevity, the statistical odds on paper that he will live till 100 years old is 1%.

You can check out the graph here:

100-year-odds-02

100-year-odds

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